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-To do that we'll have to go back in time to
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-the late 60s. So what was happening in the 60s? Well for
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-3
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-example the first man landed on the moon. That was also
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-time when Woodstock took place and also the time when the first
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-60 second picture from Polaroid was created. Concurrently to these events,
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-which you probably didn't witness in first person, that was also the
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-time when people started to realize that they were not able
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-to build the software they needed. This happened for several reasons and
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-resulted in what we call the software crisis. So let's
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-look at some of the most important reasons behind this
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-crisis. The first cause was the rising demand for software.
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-Now you're used to see software everywhere: in your phone,
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-in your car, even your washing machine. Before the 60s,
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-however, the size and complexity of software was very limited
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-and hardware components were really dominating the scene. Then things
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-started to change and software started to be increasingly prevalent.
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-So we move from a situation where everything was mostly
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-hardware to a situation in which software became more and more
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-important. To give an example, I'm going to show you the growth
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-in the software demand at NASA along those years. And in
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-particular, from the 1950s to more or less 2000. And this
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-is just a qualitative plot but that's more or less the
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-ways things went. So the demand for software in NASA grow
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-exponentially. And the same happened in a lot of other companies.
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-For example, just to cite one, for Boeing. So the
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-amount of software on airplanes became larger and larger. The
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-second cause for the software crisis was the increasing amount
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-of development effort needed due to the increase of product complexity.
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-Unfortunately, software complexity does not increase linearly with size. It
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-is not the same thing to write software for a
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-class exercise or a small project, or a temp project,
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-than it is to build a software for a word processor,
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-an operating system, a distributed system, or even more complex and larger
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-system. And what I'm giving here is just an indicative size for
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-the software so the class exercise might be 100 lines of code,
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-the small project might be 1000 lines of code, in the other thousand
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-lines of code, and so on and so forth. For the former,
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-the heroic effort of an individual developer can get the job done.
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-So that's what we call a programming effort. If you're a good
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-programmer, you can go sit down and do it, right. For the latter,
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-this is not possible. This is what we called the
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-software engineering effort. In fact, no matter how much programming languages,
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-development environments, and software tools improve, developers could not keep
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-up with increasing software size and complexity. Which leads us to
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-the third problem that I want to mention and the
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-third reason for the software crisis. And this cause is the
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-slow developer's productivity growth. So let me show this again
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-with a qualitative diagram. And this is taken from the IEEE
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-Software Magazine. And what I'm showing here is the growth in
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-software size and complexity over time, and how the developers' productivity
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-really couldn't keep up with this additional software complexity, which resulted
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-in this gap between what was needed and what was actually available.
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